Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.336566 0.367115 0.399608 0.436815 0.478329 0.523322 0.575909
2025-12-28 0.290312 0.333971 0.383530 0.444271 0.517144 0.602303 0.710147
2026-01-04 0.262458 0.312887 0.372705 0.449546 0.546580 0.666308 0.827201
2026-01-11 0.241218 0.295759 0.362754 0.452137 0.569844 0.721808 0.936581
2026-01-18 0.224111 0.281350 0.353766 0.453568 0.589869 0.772995 1.043766
2026-01-25 0.211024 0.270510 0.347772 0.457405 0.612172 0.827890 1.160620
2026-02-01 0.195364 0.254812 0.333736 0.448509 0.615159 0.854900 1.238570
2026-02-08 0.185541 0.246096 0.328222 0.450564 0.633231 0.904462 1.355072
2026-02-15 0.175204 0.235848 0.319658 0.447222 0.642526 0.940981 1.454183
2026-02-22 0.167541 0.228771 0.314949 0.448894 0.659089 0.989605 1.577929
2026-03-01 0.158681 0.219381 0.306185 0.443613 0.664048 1.019633 1.672707
2026-03-08 0.150407 0.210332 0.297299 0.437364 0.666674 1.045601 1.762628
2026-03-15 0.140555 0.198537 0.283783 0.423174 0.655586 1.048045 1.811058
2026-03-22 0.136782 0.195650 0.283617 0.430238 0.680443 1.114838 1.989525
2026-03-29 0.132833 0.192235 0.282361 0.435312 0.702119 1.177790 2.168650
2026-04-05 0.128598 0.188127 0.279724 0.437803 0.719303 1.233926 2.341317
2026-04-12 0.124433 0.183892 0.276605 0.439179 0.734445 1.287449 2.515672
2026-04-19 0.121037 0.180687 0.274939 0.442868 0.753984 1.351176 2.721378
2026-04-26 0.115434 0.173668 0.266626 0.434314 0.749839 1.367313 2.821099
2026-05-03 0.112225 0.170380 0.264329 0.436291 0.765847 1.425798 3.028590
2026-05-10 0.108256 0.165657 0.259361 0.433077 0.771421 1.462958 3.189874
2026-05-17 0.105394 0.162635 0.257119 0.434684 0.786584 1.521898 3.414829
2026-05-24 0.101543 0.157787 0.251490 0.429606 0.787796 1.550396 3.565306